The 7 reasons for the success of Vox in Castile and León (and the rest of Spain), according to its leaders

To analyze the explosion of Vox in Castile and León -and in the rest of Spain-, the motto he invented could be used Alfonso’s war in the time of social-democratic ecstasy: “We put a goat as a candidate and the goat wins. A few hours after learning of the results, an important leader of the formation of Santiago Abascal he avoided comparisons with animals, but resorted to football. Abascal knows that his party grows wherever there are elections. They go out on the pitch knowing they’re going to win.

Ten days before these autonomous elections, one of the most notable leaders of the radical right was rubbing his hands in a conference room in Madrid. It wasn’t the fake pose of the politician who, no matter what, tends to say he’s going to win. He knew they were going to win. In fact, in conversation with some journalists, he commented on the strategic alternatives that were opening up with a result like the one that ended up happening.

Vox is the third force in the Congress of Deputies. It has 52 seats and more than 3.5 million votes. The ballot boxes were opened in Catalonia… and they obtained 11 parliamentarians, more than the PP and Ciudadanos combined. They opened in the Community of Madrid… and resisted, with 13 seats, the attraction of Isabelle Diaz Ayuso. They opened in Castilla y León… and reached 13 lawyers who already embody the key to the executive.

To this must be added the 12 seats in Andalusia and the good electoral prospects diagnosed by the polls in this region. Never mind that Vox is facing his first identity crisis: he hesitates to define his opinion on Putin, he supports Orban, but also Poland, which wants nothing to do with Orban.

“Now is our time. Sometimes there are no great explanations. A few years ago we said the same thing and nobody voted for us. Now we grow a lot every time people vote,” says another of the sources consulted.

A reasoning that recalls this hackneyed phrase of Victor-Hugo used emphatically by Albert Rivera on his most successful days: “There is nothing in the world more powerful than an idea whose time has come.”

Vox literally believes in Alfonso Guerra and the goat. Its management is aware that it is facing a turning point. inflection. The growth is already large enough to drop noise and face management. It also happened in Podemos: there comes a time when your electorate does not accept that you are an agitator; They vote for you to “change things”.

In line with the result of Castilla y León – but also of what happened in Catalonia or Madrid –, EL ESPAÑOL reconstructs the keys to the success of Vox… in the eyes of its own leaders.

The caravan game

“We are the only party to have five caravans underway throughout the region during the two-week campaign. We also did a lot of fieldwork before,” says another Vox president who is tired of filming in Castile and León.

The best-known faces of the radical right have touched the nine provinces several times and at least once the large and medium-sized cities. The visit was repeated in the major capitals. “No other party has worked like this,” these sources say.

Regardless of the media quota reached, Vox is delighted to have been “everywhere”, very close to “the electorate”.

“Tied and undervalued management”

The Vox subsidiary in Castile and León, but also in the rest of Spain, does not have the classic PP problem of choosing between mum and dad, between Casado and Ayuso, between Cayetana and Feijóo, and therefore a long list of pairs.

“Our people are waiting like water in May for Abascal, Iván Espinosa, Macarena Olona, ​​​​Rocío Monasterio to leave… They can even leave all at once without the news being division or confrontation. We are united”, they celebrate in Vox.

Question of martial discipline or unity, the truth is that there is no internal controversy in this party. And less when there’s an election just around the corner. The “show” that they envisage in their rival to beat, the PP, only benefits them.

“Bipartisanship is in decline”

At Vox, they don’t believe that the downward trend of United We Can and Citizens means the resumption of the bipartisanship. They conceive that the PP and the PSOE continue to decline, losing more and more votes to themselves and the localist phenomena of Empty Spain.

The main proof in this regard is the inability of Casado and Sánchez to sign majorities, both at the national, regional and municipal level. Every new electoral process leads to this conclusion.

“The left no longer represents the working class”

If this dynamic continues, Vox will soon have a representation of 15% in the vast majority of the Autonomous Communities. He had already had it in Spain, through the generals of 2019.

There are nearly four million more right-wing Spaniards in Spain than the PP. This bold statement serves to explain how Vox also grew with her for a long time. left. Creating your own union is just the tip of the iceberg.

“Only the rich can afford not to have a country,” Abascal said, imitating Ledesma Ramos and to this Falange which forged “bread, country and work” to broaden its social base.

“Red belts are now green. We grow up among non-ideologized workers. Impoverished middle classes, people who have seen their particular economy in jeopardy. Breeders, farmers, traders… We connect well, ”they celebrate in Vox.

“The Disappearance of Citizens”

A few days before the last legislative elections, held on November 10, a leader of Vox declared to this newspaper: “Citizens exist only in the heads of journalists.” For months Abascal gave for dead Ines Arrimadas. He doesn’t even spend his time defending himself against the attacks he receives. It also doesn’t hurt to applaud her in Congress if she agrees with one of his speeches.

“We are now in that sweet moment that they had. Everything is fine. The wind is blowing in our favor. Their disappearance has left us with a huge void, ”they plead to the radical right.

Until not so long ago, a reasoning that turned out to be erroneous seemed to prevail in Spain: the voter travels many times from Ciudadanos to Vox without going through the PP. Both formations share their anti-nationalism… even if Abascal fights nationalism with more nationalism.

“Sounders are useless”

One of Abascal’s first sentences upon hearing the result was addressed to Jose Felix Tezanos, the director of the CIS. But he also wanted to use the veteran socialist’s surname to refer to private pollsters who work for various national newspapers.

The management of Vox diagnoses – in this the consensus is absolute with the other parties except the PSOE and Podemos – that the Moncloa uses the CEI as one more campaign tool, drawing scenarios favorable to the left to mobilize its voters. This is called the winning horse effect. Very few vote for who will lose.

But Vox extends Tezanos’ strategy to polls published by other “right and left” media: “That’s why the PSOE and the PP always do much better than us. They give us nothing and we always surprise them. They live in a parallel world. These polls don’t matter to anyone. It should be mentioned that SocioMétrica, the pollster of this newspaper, came very close to the final results of Castilla y León and placed Vox above the ten seats more than a month ago.

The mark and the goat

Vox named a complete stranger for Castilla y León: Juan Garcia-Gallardo (Burgos, 1991). A young lawyer who we first heard of unflattering tweets. In some cases he said that “with Franco he lived better” and in others he called football a “sport full of queers”.

“Juan turned out to be a very good first-class candidate. He had a fantastic campaign. But it also happened in Catalonia and it will happen in Andalusia. The brand is above all else,” pleads a president of Vox.

The brand, which they recognize from the inside, benefits from the campaigns of their opponents shouting “fascists, far-right, homophobic and sexist”. They end up becoming fuel for the game.

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